Friday, February 19, 2010

Winter Remains

Well, I was just laughing at the misfortune of those back downstate who looked to get slammed by some nice snow accumulations this Sunday. Soon as I laugh, the models shift the storm 100 miles north, and we here in northern Illinois now look to be at ground zero. Things are not looking so funny anymore right around Sunday night and during the day Monday. The storm is still a couple days out, but I have to say that if the last couple runs verify we are in trouble up here. This one has the best potential I've seen all winter to really dump some white stuff across the region. One last hurrah? Hopefully.

One thing is for sure, if we get a long duration under a deformation band with as much QPF as it's forecast to dump over the area Sunday and Monday, things will be moving slow for a while. Forecasting totals would be silly now with such an erratic trend in the models, but this one has 12" potential written all over it.