Monday, September 28, 2009

Severe Midweek?

Probably not, and I've been trying to ignore it as best I can. Thursday has my attention purely based on the dynamics of the system. It appears, as is per usual with early spring and fall setups that we'll be dealing with little, if any instability. The prime target looks like it will be located in the state of Iowa, to make situations worse.

The only area of interest that I see right now, is where ever the low ends up. If you can get a narrow tongue of instability to feed in there, I have a hard time believing supercells would not be likely given the wind fields. That instability existing is however, pretty unlikely. That potential "best area" is also hugging a major river valley. I'll watch southwest Iowa for now, I suppose.

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