Sunday, June 7, 2009

NE Kansas today

Will be targeting SE Nebraska and NE Kansas today. Anywhere from Beatrice, NE to Topeka, KS looks primed. At the very least we should see some rigorous supercells this evening, producing big hail. The cap does not worry me today as much as the LCL's do. Will need to hug the warm front where they'll be low enough for a good tornado potential. With the forecasted instability (being overdone on the RUC, but still expect a good 3500 j/kg) and wind fields, should a storm form and become surface based a couple significant tornadoes. At the moment, the Topeka to Kansas City corridor is looking dangerous.

Will be sitting in Holton, Kansas awaiting any action.

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